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Uyini Umsuka Wokusabalala Kwephuzu Ekubhejelweni Kwezemidlalo?
Ukusabalala kwephuzu eliyisakhiwo sodumo kwaqala njengendlela emisha yokulinganisa amaqembu angafani futhi selokhu kwaba yisisekelo sokubheja kwezemidlalo..
Ukubheja okusakazekile kwamaphuzu kunomlando ohehayo osukela ekuqaleni kwekhulu lama-20. Yethulwa njengendlela yokudala ukulingana kuma-matchups, ukuvumela ababhejiyo ukuthi babheje hhayi nje ngokuthi ubani ozowina, kodwa ngamalini. Umqondo unikeze ababhuki amandla okulinganisa isenzo kuzo zombili izinhlangothi zomugqa.
Njengoba ukubheja kwezemidlalo kudlondlobala, kanjalo nobunkimbinkimbi bephuzu kwasabalala. Ingqophamlando eyodwa emlandweni wokusabalala kwamaphuzu kwaba ngeminyaka yawo-1940 lapho uCharles K. McNeil, uthisha wezibalo waphenduka ubhuki waseChicago, kwaduma lolu hlobo lokubheja. Indlela yakhe emisha yokubheja emaphethelweni empumelelo iguqule ngokuphelele isimo sokubheja.
Ukusabalala kwephuzu lanamuhla kuwumphumela walokho kuziphendukela kwemvelo, ezisekelweni ngenjongo yokukhiqiza indawo elinganayo yokubheja kungakhathalekile ukungafani phakathi kwamaqembu. Lesi senzo sokulinganisa sifezwa ngokusakazwa kwamaphuzu, isibalo esethwe yi-sportsbooks esilinganisa umehluko wokugcina kumaphuzu phakathi kwamaqembu aqhudelanayo. Ababhejiyo kufanele banqume ukuthi bakholelwa ukuthi intandokazi izowina ngokuningi kunokusabalala noma uma i-underdog izolahlekelwa ngaphansi kokusabalala—noma ngokunokwenzeka iwine ngokuqondile..
Ukuze sikuqonde kangcono lokhu, lapho uskena i amathuba, uzobona ukusabalala kwephoyinti kukhonjiswa ngazo zombili izinombolo ezinegethivu nephozithivu. Ngokwesibonelo, uma ama-New York Giants edlala i-Dallas Cowboys, kanti oMdondoshiya bayathandwa, ungase ubone iphuzu lisakazwa libhalwe njengeMidondoshiya -7 / Abafana bezinkomo +7. Lokhu kukhomba ukuthi iZimnyama kulindeleke ukuthi ziwine 7 amaphuzu.
Izinombolo zithanda -110 eduze kwephuzu elisakazwayo lisho ubungqabavu, noma “ijusi,” okuyimali ekhokhiswa i-sportsbook ngokuthatha ukubheja. Futhi kuwukubonakaliswa kwengozi eqhathaniswa nesimo somvuzo ekubhejeni, okubonisa ukuthi ngokuvamile uzodinga ukubheja $110 ukunqoba $100.
Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, ezinye izinhlobo zokubheja sezithuthukile eduze nokusabalala kwephuzu, njengokubheja ngaphezulu/ngaphansi kumaphuzu ahlanganisiwe awo womabili amaqembu nokubheja ngomugqa wemali lapho umuntu evele akhethe owinile. Ukubheja kwe-Prop ekudlalweni komdlali ngamunye kanye nama-parlays ahlanganisa ama-wager amaningi abe yinye futhi kwengeza ku-tapestry ecebile yezinketho zokubheja kwezemidlalo ezitholakalayo kubathandi..
Ukusabalala kwephuzu kuhlala kuyintandokazi yabalandeli ngekhono lakhona lokulinganisa inkundla nokuhlinzeka nge-engeli yokubheja yamasu emidlalweni eyahlukene.. Kulabo abamagange ukucwila emhlabeni ophilayo wokubheja kwamaphuzu, akukho ukushoda kwamathuba okusebenzisa leli thuluzi elidala. Ukuze uthole imininingwane eyengeziwe ngokuthi kusho ukuthini ukusabalala kwephuzu nokuthi ungabhejwa kanjani, I-Forbes inomhlahlandlela omuhle kakhulu ojulile.
Khumbula lapho ungena emhlabeni wokubheja okusakazwayo, konke kumayelana nokuthakasela kwesibikezelo, injabulo yokudlula umugqa, kanye nokwaneliseka okuza ne-wager ebekwe kahle. Futhi leyo ndaba iqala nge-tapestry yomlando okuyiphuzu elisakazwayo.
Abalwa Kanjani Amaphuzu Ekubhejelweni Kwezemidlalo?
Lapho singena ezweni lokubheja kwezemidlalo, ukubala amaphuzu ukusabalala kubalulekile ohlelweni umdlalo. Oddsmakers bayibeka kanjani imigqa? Empeleni, bahlanganisa amamodeli ezibalo ayinkimbinkimbi nokuhlaziya kochwepheshe ukuze bakhe imigqa yokubheja edonsa inzalo elinganayo kuzo zombili izinhlangothi zokubheja.
Oddsmakers bancike ezintweni eziningi ukuze banqume ukusabalala kwegeyimu. Ekuqaleni, bahlola amandla eqembu ngalinye besebenzisa isofthiwe ethuthukisiwe nama-algorithms anikezelwe ukubheja kwezemidlalo. Lawa mamodeli acabangela uhlu olubanzi lwezibalo, ukusebenza okwedlule, kanye nezici zesimo ezifana nenzuzo yenkundla yasekhaya noma ukulimala kwabadlali.
Ngemuva kokuthi izinombolo eziluhlaza zichotshoziwe, abahlaziyi abanolwazi babuyekeza ukusabalala. Bacabangela izakhi ezingabambeki, njengokuguquguquka kweqembu kwamanje noma umbono womphakathi, okungenzeka ingathwetshulwa ngokugcwele ezinombolweni ezingahluziwe.
Izincwadi zezemidlalo’ umgomo uwukusetha ukusabalala kwephuzu eliheha cishe isenzo sokubheja esilinganayo nhlangothi zombili. Kungani? Ngoba izincwadi zezemidlalo zenza imali ngomfutho, noma “ijusi,” hhayi kusukela ekugembuleni ngomphumela womdlalo ngokwabo. Ngokukhokhisa imali ekubhejweni okubekiwe, ngokuvamile kuboniswa izinombolo ezifana -110 eduze nokusabalala, baqinisekisa inzuzo kungakhathaliseki umphumela womdlalo.
Oddsmakers kumele futhi babe izibukeli ezihlakaniphile zokubheja komphakathi futhi balungise ukusabalala ngokufanele ukuze balondoloze lokho kulinganisela.. Lokhu kusebenzisana kobuchwepheshe nobungcweti bomuntu busebenza ngokuqhubekayo ukuze kumiswe imigqa enembe kakhulu nehehayo ngangokunokwenzeka.
Uhlobo lwalo msebenzi ludinga ukubuyekezwa okuqhubekayo, ngakho ukusabalala kokuqala kungashintsha ngokusekelwe ezicini ezifana namaphethini abalulekile okubheja, ukulimala komdlali kungazelelwe, noma olunye ulwazi olusha. Ababhejiyo asebemnkantshubomvu babheka lokhu kunyakaza ukuze babone amathuba abalulekile okubheja.
Ukusetha ngokunembile ukusabalala kwephoyinti kuwubuciko obudinga inhlanganisela yokunemba kwezibalo kanye nokuthinta komuntu ukuqonda isayense yezemidlalo namathrendi okubheja.. Yile nhlanganisela ethokozisayo eyenza ukubheja kwezemidlalo kube umsebenzi ohehayo kwabashisekayo nabachwepheshe ngokufanayo.. Uma uthakaselekile futhi ufuna ukucwila ekubhejelweni kokusabalalisa amaphuzu, ungase ufune ukuhlola okunikezwayo okuvela kozakwethu bokubheja ukuze uqalise.
Kungani Iphoyinti Lisakaza Ushintsho Ngaphambi Komdlalo?
Ukusabalala kwamaphoyinti kungase kube okuguquguqukayo, ukuzulazula emuva naphambili ngesikhathi somdlalo. Kodwa kungani? Ake sihlukanise.
Okokuqala, indlela umphakathi wokubheja angeke wabukelwa phansi. Cabanga ngephuzu elisakazwa njengomncintiswano wodumo—enhliziyweni yawo umbono womphakathi. Amabhuku ezemidlalo buka ngokucophelela lapho imali iya khona futhi alungise ukusabalala ukuze aqinisekise ukubheja okulinganayo nhlangothi zombili.. Kungumdanso obucayi phakathi kokugcina ukukhanga kwababhejiyo kanye nokunciphisa ubungozi bezimali zebhuku.
Lapho iningi lokubheja litheleka eqenjini elilodwa, ukusabalala kungase kushintshe ukwenza olunye uhlangothi lukhange nakakhulu, ukukhuthaza ukulingana ekubheja. Lo mnyakazo oguquguqukayo awubonisi nje kuphela inkolelo ehlangene yesixuku sokugembula kodwa futhi ugwema ukulahlekelwa okukhulu kwe-sportbook uma uhlangothi olulodwa luwina ngokuzimisela..
Manje, sikhulume ngokulimala. Ukulimala komdlali kudlala indima enkulu emdlalweni wezinguquko wokusatshalaliswa kwamaphuzu. Inhlanhla yeqembu ingashintshwa kakhulu ngokulimala komdlali obalulekile—cabanga abadlali basemuva ebholeni lezinyawo noma abadlali abaphambili ku-basketball. Njengoba izibuyekezo ezinjalo zifinyelela umphakathi, imigqa isabela cishe ngokuguqukayo, ubufakazi besisindo sabadlali benkanyezi’ ithonya.
Ulwazi olusha alugcini nje ngokulimala, nokho. Cabanga ngezohwebo, ukumiswa, noma ngisho nezimo zezulu ezingalindelekile. I-ripple ngayinye echibini ingathumela ukusabalala kwephoyinti kuntengantenga. Ababheji abahlakaniphile bahlala benolwazi ngalezi zinguquko, njalo ilungele ukuhlwitha inani lapho livela khona.
Njengoba sihlola umthelela wezinguquko zokubheja zomphakathi kanye nemidlalo yakamuva, kusobala ukuthi ukufunda isayensi ye khomba ukunyakaza kokusabalalisa ibalulekile kunoma yimuphi umbheji wamasu. Ukuqonda amashifu kunganikeza amathuba ahlakaniphile okubheja—noma ukunamathela ekuzingeleni kokuqala noma i-pivot ngokushintsha kwesimo sezulu..
Imaphi Amasu Ongawasebenzisa Ukuze Ubheje Esabalazweni Samaphuzu?
Lapho utshuza ezweni elinempilo lephuzu lokubheja ukusabalalisa, abasanda kufika kufanele bazihlomise ngesu eliqinile lokuzulazula le ndawo ngempumelelo. Ukubheja kokusabalalisa iphuzu, noma ‘iyasakaza,’ yethula indlela lapho ukunemba kanye nobuhlakani kungaholela emiphumeleni evuzayo. Ukusabalala kwephuzu kuyisibalo esibeka umkhawulo olindelekile wokunqoba weqembu elithandwayo.
Kwabaqalayo, ukuqonda ukuthi ukusabalala kwephuzu kusebenza kanjani kuyisisekelo sesu lokuwina. Imele ukuthi iqembu eliwinile libikezelwa ukuthi lizowina ngamalini. Endabeni yabangaphansi, iwumkhawulo lapho iqembu lingalahlekelwa khona ngaphandle kokuphazamisa ukubheja kabi. Ngaphezu kwalokho, kubalulekile futhi ukunquma izinombolo, njenge -110, okubonisa ubungqabavu noma ikhomishini ethathwa yi-sportsbook.
Ukuhunyushwa kokusabalala kuwubuciko obuningi njengoba kuyisayensi. Ithiphu yangaphakathi yokuthuthukisa ukunaka kakhulu izinombolo ezingaphezulu/ngaphansi, okulinganisa amaphuzu atholwe yiwo womabili amaqembu. Lokhu kunganikeza izinkomba ku-tempo namasu omdlalo, ikakhulukazi emidlalweni enamaphuzu aphezulu njengebhola nebhola lomnqakiswano.
Kulabo abafuna ukuguqula imibono ibe ngamasu, umuntu akumele abheke ngaphezu kwe ukusabalala kwamaphuzu kanye nokuhlaziywa okungaphezulu/ngaphansi okunikezwa abahlaziyi bezemidlalo. Lokhu kuqonda kubaluleke kakhulu ekufundeni izintambo zokuhumusha izinombolo eziguqukayo nokuthi zihambisana kanjani nokudlala umdlalo.
Qala kancane futhi elula. Ukubheja okuqondile kuyindlela yabaqalayo, njengoba zibandakanya ukubheja emdlalweni owodwa kanye nomphumela owodwa ngesikhathi. Ukubheja kwe-Prop kuwumsuka wokudlala komdlali ngamunye futhi kunikela ngokusonta ezindleleni zokubheja zendabuko. Ukuhlanganisa ukubheja kuma-parlays kungaphindaphinda ukuwina kodwa kube ngcono kubekelwe ababheji abanolwazi olunzulu ngenxa yemvelo yabo eyinkimbinkimbi..
Amasu okubheja nawo angabandakanya ukuthenga amaphuzu ukushintsha ukusabalala kube umusa wakho, eqala ukubhejwa ngamahlaya, okuvumela obhejayo ukuthi alungise ukusabalala ukuze kube nenkokhelo encishisiwe, noma ukumane ugweme imidlalo enejusi eyeqile ecekela phansi inani. Ukubhekisisa izinombolo ezibalulekile, njengalezo okuxoxwa ngazo kaningi “ezintathu” ebhola iphuzu ukusabalala, ingaqondisa imikhawulo yakho yokubheja.
Okokugcina, ngokubheja kwezemidlalo, isiyalo ngezimali zakho kubalulekile. Bheja ngokwamandla akho, ukumelana nesilingo sokujaha ukulahlekelwa, futhi ubuyekeze njalo umthelela wezinguquko zomzuzu wokugcina, njengokulimala noma ukuguqulwa kohlu, endaweni ukusabalala. Uma uzimisele ukuhlola amakhono akho bese usebenzisa lawa masu, hlola okunikezwayo okuvela kozakwethu abathembekile bokubheja.
Izingozi Nezinye Izehlakalo Zomzuzu Wokugcina Zikuthinta Kanjani Ukusabalala Kwephuzu?
Umthelela wokulimala ekusakazeni kwamaphuzu ubalulekile. Lapho abadlali abamqoka bebekwe eceleni ngokungalindelekile, oddsmakers kumele balungise ngokushesha imigqa ukuze babonise umphumela omusha olindelekile wegeyimu. Kodwa akukhona nje ukulimala—izindaba eziphuma sekwephuzile noma ezinye izehlakalo zingaholela ekushintsheni kwamaphuzu, okwenza kube nesimo sokubheja esiguqukayo.
Kwababheji, lokhu kusho ukuhlala uqaphile futhi usabela kuntuthuko yakamuva. Njengoba izenzakalo zesikhathi sangempela zenzeka, amasu kumele azivumelanise; ababhejiyo abanolwazi bangasebenzisa amashifu okusabalalisa amaphuzu okwenzeka ngenxa yalezi zinguquko zomzuzu wokugcina. Abalandeli abakhuthele bayibhekile imibiko yokulimala, izimemezelo zabadlali, kanye nezindaba zeqembu ukuze ubambe noma yimiphi imithelela engaba khona emigqeni yokubheja.
Ukuqonda ukuthi ukulimala kuyishintsha kanjani imigqa yokubheja kubalulekile ekubhejelweni okuphakathi kwegeyimu. Uma umdlali oyinkanyezi ephuma emdlalweni elimele, ukusabalala kwephoyinti elingaphakathi kwegeyimu kungashintsha kakhulu, ukwethula amathuba kulabo ababuka umdlalo bukhoma. Ababhejiyo abanekhono bangasebenzisa lokhu ukuze bazuze, ikakhulukazi lapho bezwa ukuthi umthelela wokungabikho komdlali ungase ungabi mubi njengoba kungase kusikisele.
Ukubekezela nesikhathi kudlala indima ebalulekile kulabo abafuna ukuthuthukisa izinguquko zokubheja ngesikhathi sangempela. Ukwazi ukuthi kufanele ubeke nini ukubheja kwakho ngemuva kokushintsha umugqa kungaba umehluko phakathi kokuwina nokulahlekelwa. Kumayelana nokungaphezu nje kokusabela kwangaleso sikhathi; kumayelana nokulindela ukunyakaza okulandelayo nokuqonda ukuthi imakethe izosabela kanjani ekushintsheni kokuqala.
Kulabo abalungele ukuzulazula kulawa manzi, I-Caesars Sportsbook inikeza inkundla eguquguqukayo yokubeka ama-wagers akho. Uma ubheja ngokuphapha, ukuthola ibhuku lezemidlalo eliphendulayo nelithembekile kubalulekile. OKhesari banikeza izinhlobonhlobo zezinketho zokubheja nemigqa ebuyekeziwe ebonisa izinguquko zakamuva ngesikhathi sangempela.
Amandla okushintsha isu lakho lokubheja nemicimbi yesikhathi sangempela yikhona okuhlukanisa abaqalayo nababhejiyo abangomakadebona.. Ukusebenzisa ulwazi lwakamuva nokuqonda ama-nuances wezinguquko zokusatshalaliswa kwamaphuzu kungakunikeza unqenqema oludingayo ukuze wenze amasu, ukubhejwa okunenzuzo. Hlala ubukhali, uhlale unolwazi, futhi khumbula, isimo sokubheja kwezemidlalo siyashintsha njalo—ikakhulukazi lapho kudlala imicimbi yomzuzu wokugcina.
Yini Okufanele Uyazi NgokuBheja Ngokuphikisana Nephuzu Lokusakazwa?
Ukubheja ngokumelene nokusabalalisa isinkwa nebhotela kubabheji bezemidlalo abangenakubalwa. Akukhona nje ukukhetha abawinile nabahluliwe, kodwa kunalokho ukubheja emkhawulweni wokunqoba noma wokunqotshwa. Futhi yilapho inselele kanye nesasasa lihlala khona! Iphuzu lisakaza izinga lokudlala phakathi kwentandokazi ne-underdog, okwenza wonke umdlalo ube yithemba lokubheja elihehayo.
Lapho uhlose ukubheja ngokumelene nokusabalalisa, ukufuna ukubaluleka kubalulekile. Akukhona nje ukuthi yiliphi iqembu elizowina; kumayelana nokuthi yiliphi iqembu elizowina ngamalini, noma ngokuphambene, ngeke ilahlekelwe ngemajini elindelekile. Imigqa yokubona okholwa ukuthi ayizange ithwebule ngokunembile amandla nobuthakathaka bamaqembu ingakunikeza umkhawulo.
Manje, ake sikhulume ngendlovu ekamelweni - i-vigorish, noma ‘vig’ ngamafuphi. Ukuqonda vig in iphuzu ukusabalala kubalulekile ohambweni lwakho lokubheja. I-vig, eyaziwa nangokuthi ijusi, yimali ekhokhiswa ababhuki ekubhejweni. Ivame ukumelwa eduze kokusabalalisa ngezinombolo ezifana -110, kukhombisa inani olikhokhayo ngokubheja. Ukubhekana nalo mqondo kuqinisekisa ukuthi uyazazi izindleko zangempela zokubheja kwakho futhi kusiza ekuphatheni i-bankroll yakho ngempumelelo..
Ngamafuphi, ngokumelene nokusabalala (I-ATS) ukubheja kuhlanganisa ukubheja okusekelwe ephuzwini elisakazwa abaqaphi benkinga. Uzodinga ukunquma ukuthi ucabanga ukuthi intandokazi ingawina ngamajini amakhulu kunokusabalala, noma uma i-underdog ingagcina igeyimu iseduze kunokusabalala noma iwine ngokuqondile. Ukukhomba lawo mathuba lapho iphuzu lisakazeka libonakala lingekho - yilapho inani lilele khona.
Futhi khumbula, zonke -110 obonayo eceleni kokusabalalisa kubonisa izindleko zokubheja - ikhomishini kabhuki. Empeleni, ukunqoba $100, ngokuvamile udinga ukubhejwa $110, ukubalwa kwe-vig.
Kungani lokho kubalulekile? Ngoba ukubheja ngakunye okubekayo akukhona nje ukuthi uyawina noma ulahlekelwe; futhi kumayelana nenani olikhokhayo ukuze udlale umdlalo. Ngokuhamba kwesikhathi, ukuthola intengo engcono kakhulu nokukhokha inani elincane le-vig kungaba nomthelela omkhulu ekubhejelweni kwakho kwezemidlalo.
Umlingo wokubheja we-ATS usezinambeni. Ukuphusha nokudonsa kwemigqa yokubheja, abathintwe umbono wobuningi noma ababheji ababukhali, ukulimala, noma inqwaba yezinye izici, dala indawo yokubheja eguqukayo. Iphuzu ngalinye elisakazwa ukubheja limelela indaba encane - ukulandisa kokulindela kuqhathaniswa nomphumela, ukuvumelana ngokumelene nokumangala, umphakathi ngokumelene nobuhle. Gxila ngolwazi namasu, futhi ukusabalala kwephuzu akuyona nje inombolo; yithuba.
Izinombolo Ezibalulekile Ekubhejeni kwe-NFL Zikuthinta Kanjani Ukusabalala Kwephuzu?
Isisekelo sokubheja kwe-NFL ukuqonda ukubaluleka kwezinombolo ezibalulekile. Lawa amaphuzu okunqunywa ngawo iphesenti elikhulu lemidlalo ye-NFL. Izinombolo eziyinhloko okuhlangatshezwane nazo kakhulu zihlanganisa 3, 7, futhi 10. Kungani lezi zibalo zibucayi kangaka? Kalula nje, bavame ukumela umkhawulo wokunqoba emidlalweni ye-NFL ngenxa yesistimu yokushaya amagoli yebhola: nge-touchdowns value 7 amaphuzu (noma 6 ngephuzu elengeziwe eligejiwe) namagoli enkundla anenani 3.
Uma kuziwa isu lokubheja, ababheji be-savvy banake kakhulu lezi zinombolo ezibalulekile. Ngokwesibonelo, ukusabalala kwe -2.5 kukhanga kakhulu intandokazi ukwedlula -3.5 ngoba lesi sakamuva sidinga intandokazi ukuthi iwine ngaphezu kwegoli lenkundla, ngokwezibalo okuyisithiyo esikhulu okumele siqedwe. On the flip side, i-underdog ku +3.5 kuyathandeka ngoba kusho ukuthi bangahlulwa ngegoli lenkundla bese bevala ukusabalala.
Ukunyakaza kwezimakethe nakho kudlala indima ebalulekile ekutheni lokhu kusakazwa kungashintsha kanjani. Izincwadi zezemidlalo zivame ukulungisa imigqa esekelwe ekuncipheni nasekugelezeni kokubheja ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukusatshalaliswa okulinganayo kwemali. Uma imali eningi inqwabelana ohlangothini olulodwa lokusabalala, obhuki bangase bakushukumise ukuthi kulinganisele ukubheja futhi banciphise ubungozi babo bezezimali.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, izitayela zokubheja zomphakathi zingaba nomthelela omkhulu ekutheni ukusabalala kushintsha kanjani okuholela esikhathini segeyimu. Uma iningi lomphakathi lincike kakhulu eqenjini elilodwa, lokhu kungabangela ukusabalala kuhambisane nelinye iqembu, ukunikeza inani kubathengi abaphikisana nabakholelwa ukuthi igagasi lombono womphakathi lishintshe umugqa kude kakhulu.
Ababhejiyo abanesizini bayazi ukuthi izinguquko ekusabalaleni zingabonisa amathuba, ikakhulukazi eduze nezinombolo ezibalulekile. Ukusuka enombolweni engukhiye kungenza unqenqema lube lukhulu, noma ubonise isikhathi sokuyeka ukubheja uma inani lincipha.
Empeleni, izinombolo eziyisihluthulelo abashintshi game in NFL ukubheja. Ukuqonda ukubaluleka kwabo kungaba yinto ebucayi esu eliyimpumelelo lokubheja, ikakhulukazi uma kuhlanganiswe nolwazi lokunyakaza kwezimakethe kanye nezitayela zokubheja zomphakathi. Lezi zici zichazwe ngokuningiliziwe kulesi siqeshana esibanzi ngokubaluleka kokusabalala kwamaphuzu ekubhejelweni kwezemidlalo..
Uyini Umthelela Wephuzu Elisabalala Ekubhejelweni Kwephuzu?
Lapho utshuza ku-point spread ukubheja, kubalulekile ukuqonda ukuphambana kwengqondo yomuntu kanye nezinombolo ezisebhodini. I-Market psychology idlala indima ebaluleke kakhulu endleleni ukusabalala kwephuzu kubonwa ngayo futhi, ngenxa yalokho, kubhejwa kanjani. Ababhejiyo bangase bancikise intandokazi ngenxa yenkolelo esabalele ekuphakameni kwabo, noma ngokuphambene, bangase basekele i-underdog ngomuzwa wokunqoba okulindelekile ngokumelene nezingqinamba.
Ekuphatheni i-bankroll nge-point spread ukubheja, isiyalo siyinkosi. Ababhejiyo abaphumelele ukusabalala bavamise ukuthobela isu elihlanganisa ukusetha ibhajethi nokunamathela kuyo, ukwenza izinqumo ezinengqondo kunezinhliziyo, kanye nokufuna ukusabalalisa okunikeza inani langempela kunokumane ugxumele kunoma yimuphi umdlalo olandelayo. Bayaqonda i-psychology ngemuva kokubheja kokusabalalisa-hhayi nje imiqondo yabo kodwa ukuziphatha okuhlangene kwemakethe yokubheja. Lokhu kuqwashisa kungavula amathuba okubheja amacebo okukhulisa imbuyiselo ngenkathi ulawula ubungozi.
Manje, ake sicabangele izindlela zokubheja zokusabalalisa amaphuzu kancane. Kungaphezu nje kokuhlanganisa izinombolo; imayelana nesu elicacile. Ababheji abahlakaniphile bayazi ukuzibekela imingcele, ukulandelela ukusebenza kokubheja kwabo, futhi ulungise indlela yabo ngokusekelwe kukho kokubili ukuwina nokulahlekelwa kwabo. Ukuqaphela umthelela we-psychology yemakethe ekusakazeni kwamaphuzu, njengamashifu ngenxa yemizwa yomphakathi noma ithonya elibukhali lokubheja, ivumela laba babheji ukuthi balindele umnyakazo futhi babeke isikhathi ukubheja kwabo ngokufanele ukuze bathole amathuba amahle kakhulu.
Khumbula, ukuphatha i-bankroll yakho akukhona nje ukuthi ubheja malini, kodwa futhi nokuthi ubheja ngokuhlakanipha kangakanani. Nakisisa izinombolo eduze kwephuzu elisakazwayo, njengoba zibizela ubungqabavu noma “ijusi”-imali oyikhokhayo kwi-sportsbook ngokubeka ukubheja kwakho. Lokhu kubaluleke kakhulu ekubhejeni kwephuzu njengokusabalala uqobo. Ukubheja ngokwamandla akho, nokugxila ekubhejeni okuqondile, ikakhulukazi uma usaqala, kungasiza ukugcina i-bankroll engashintshi. Gcina amehlo akho ehlutshiwe -110 izingqinamba ezijwayelekile futhi uqinisekise ukuthi awukhokhi ngokweqile ngejusi.
Ekugcineni, kusetshenziswa imininingwane yezengqondo kanye nokuphathwa kwe-bankroll okuhlakaniphile kucacisa ipulani yokubheja okungaba yinzuzo yokusabalalisa amaphuzu. Ukuthi ukala izisusa ngemuva kokunyakaza komugqa, ukuhlola umthelela ongaba khona wezindaba zeqembu ekusabalaleni, noma ukuhlala uqaphile ngamathrendi emakethe, okucacile yilokhu: Ukubheja kokusabalalisa amaphuzu akukhona nje ngezinombolo, imayelana nokuqonda ukulandisa kanye nemizwa eshintsha lezo zinombolo, nokusebenzisa lolo lwazi ukuze uzuze ngokwezimali.
Isiphetho
Sidabule endaweni yokusabalalisa amaphuzu, ukulandelela umsuka wayo kanye nokuqonda izibalo eziyinkimbinkimbi ngemuva kwalezi zibalo ezibekwe oddsmakers. Manje uyazi izinselele: kusuka ezicini zangaphandle ezibangela ukusabalala ukuthi zishintshe ngaphambi kwesikhathi somdlalo ziye kumasu angakusiza wenze izinqumo ezihlakaniphile uma ubhejela noma uphikisana nokusabalala.. Njengoba sesibonile, Imicimbi yomzuzu wokugcina ingashintsha kakhulu indawo, kuyilapho izinombolo ezibalulekile ekubhejeni kwe-NFL zihlala zibalulekile ekuqondeni ukuthi ukusabalala kusebenza kanjani.
Ukuhlanganiswa kwe-psychology, ukunyakaza kwemakethe, kanye nokuphathwa kwe-bankroll akukwazi nje ukuthuthukisa injabulo yakho yomdlalo kodwa futhi kulole nekhono lakho lokubheja. Umhlahlandlela wakho ucace kakhudlwana futhi amasu asesandleni sakho. Manje, uhlomile—ngale kokuzizwa kwamathumbu—ukuzulazula ebbs kanye nokugeleza kokubheja okusabalaliswa kwamaphuzu ngokuzethemba nokuqonda. Phuma futhi ubeke ukubheja kwakho ngobuhlakani bosomaqhinga osemnkantshubomvu!
FAQ
FAQ: Ukuthola Okujabulisayo Kokubheja Kwephuzu
1. Okuqale iphuzu kwasabalala ekubhejelweni kwezemidlalo?
Ukusabalala kwamaphuzu kwasungulwa ukuze kwakhiwe izinketho zokubheja ezilinganiselayo ekubhejeni kwezemidlalo. Yethulwa ekuqaleni kwekhulu lama-20 futhi yathandwa nguCharles K. McNeil ngawo-1940, ukubheja okusabalala kwephuzu kwakuklanyelwe ukufanisa ukufana phakathi kwamaqembu angafani, ukuvumela ababhuki ukuthi bagqugquzele ukubheja nhlangothi zombili zomncintiswano.
2. Izincwadi zezemidlalo zinquma kanjani ukusabalala kwephuzu?
I-Sportsbooks isetha iphuzu lokusabalala ngokuhlanganisa ama-algorithms ayinkimbinkimbi kanye nemininingwane yochwepheshe. Bahlola amandla eqembu, idatha yomlando, nezici zesimo, njengenzuzo yasekhaya noma ukulimala komdlali, futhi ulungise izibalo zabo usebenzisa ubuchwepheshe babahlaziyi abangomakadebona ukuze balondoloze isenzo sokubheja esinokulinganisela futhi bavikele inzuzo yabo ngomfutho..
3. Kungani iphuzu lingasabalala lishintshe ngaphambi komdlalo?
Ukusabalala kwephuzu kungashintshashintsha ngenxa yamaphethini okubheja, ukulimala komdlali, noma ezinye izehlakalo ezingalindelekile. Njengoba izincwadi zezemidlalo zibheka ukuthi iningi lemali libhejwa kuphi, balungisa imigqa ukuze baqinisekise ibhalansi yokubheja, ukusabela ekuziphatheni kokubheja komphakathi kanye nezici zangaphandle ezifana nokutholakala komdlali noma izimo zezulu.
4. Yimaphi amasu asebenzayo okubheja ekusakazeni kwamaphuzu?
Ukuze uphumelele iphuzu ukusabalalisa ukubheja, qala ngokuqonda izisekelo zokusabalala kanye nobungqabavu. Buka izinombolo ezingaphezulu/ngaphansi, cabanga ngokuqondile, isiphetho, nokubhejwa kwe-parlay, futhi wenze imali ngokuthenga amaphuzu noma ukubheja ngamahlaya. Okubaluleke kakhulu, gcina ukuziphatha kahle kwezezimali ngokugwema imidlalo ye-vig ephezulu nokubheja ngokwamandla akho, kucatshangelwa izinguquko zomzuzu wokugcina ezingase zibe nomthelela ekusabalaleni.
5. Izehlakalo zomzuzu wokugcina zinethonya kanjani ukusabalala kwephuzu?
Imicimbi yomzuzu wokugcina njengokulimala noma izibuyekezo zomdlali zithinta kakhulu ukusabalala kwephuzu. I-Oddsmakers ilungisa ngokushesha imigqa ukuze ibonise imiphumela emisha yegeyimu elindelwe, ukudala amathuba okuba ababhejiyo basebenzise lezi zinguquko uma bekholelwa ukuthi ulayini uhambe kakhulu noma uncane kakhulu ekuphenduleni izindaba.
